Risk/Reward ratio



Now and then a well-protected premises gets broken in to, and no matter what the reason was, someone found a way to break through the security systems. Why is that? Well, honestly, unless you live like a well-protected president (who also gets some attacks now and then), you will never be impenetrable or completely safe from every threat. I am not quite sure what other protectors like to call this, but it generally floats around as the risk/reward ratio. Meaning, if ever the reward that is to be gained is worth the risk associated or even more, then the likelihood of it happening still exists. You implement measures to irritate and keep someone from simply taking whatever they want from you. But, you can never really eliminate the urge of someone eager enough to grab it.

How is it still possible?

We have to remember that skills can be learned by anyone willing to learn them. Perhaps not always by the conventional manner we are used to, but either way, a skill can be learned. Many “masters” of their crafts become masters in the first place by developing beyond the conventional ways.

So, with that mouthful out of the way, here is what I mean. In reality, if I have to get or take from you what I so desperately want or need, especially when I have no other choice, I will be motivated enough to get it. And in that case, whatever means you have put in place to prevent me will be vulnerable to my motivated mind. I will most likely figure out some ingenious or perhaps absurd way to pass your measures and get what I want.

I like to call it the Risk/Reward ratio. But whatever the real term is for our industry, It simply means that if my reward is worth the effort, I might just take the risk.

I can think of various ways I have defeated some security systems and things I have seen in the industry, and for obvious reasons cannot mention them here. As I am always confident that just as we protectors are utilizing the internet, social media and various skilled courses to enhance our capabilities, so are those we fight against. Many wolves amongst the sheep.

Closing off:

So, closing off, I hope it is clear to you that not any measure is impenetrable, think about how the enemy adapts, how technology advances and how the sheer willpower of one man can change and revolutionize our industry. If an army is in my way, will 2 armies behind me defeat them? If an alarm system is in my way, will something be good enough to defeat it? Face it, we can never, ever be complacent. If you are wondering how to plan around this, then please read here.

Till next time, keep developing.

Risks VS Threats


Risk, Threat, and Vulnerability

Before any security detail can be put in place, you first need to determine the risks and threats that are present in your area of responsibility and the vulnerabilities they are open to. So, to start, it is very important to know the difference between risk, a threat, and vulnerability. I do however have to start by saying, this is just my explanation of how I see and measure Risk, Threat, and Vulnerability. You will indefinitely meet more people with more elaborate definitions or even some who sound quite the opposite of what I am going to attempt to explain in this post. So keep an open mind and try to KISS it. (Keep It Simple Stupid).

Here goes:

Risk: Risk is the potential for an unwanted result. For example a financial loss, loss of life, emotional trauma or disruption of activities.

Threat: A threat is that occurrence or event that leads to, or causes the unwanted result (Risk). For example damage to infrastructure or property, murder, traumatic event or sabotage. These events can happen by nature, the lack of maintenance, wear and tear or it can, of course, be inflicted/implemented by a person.

Vulnerability: A vulnerability is a specific flaw or weakness in a system or a design in general. Such as someone with an allergy, it is not necessarily a risk on its own, as long as it is avoided. It can, however, be exploited by a potential attacker and used as a method of attack.

A quick example:

You have a nut allergy (Vulnerability). A long-standing business partner wants to eliminate you by exploiting your allergy (Threat). If he is successful in his covert operation, you will most likely lose your life (Risk). So, for you to survive, you will have to devise a plan to test your food and drinks, or even anything that may enter your bloodstream. A habit of chewing your pen (Vulnerability) may even be used, by applying some peanut oil on the pen.

So you can also see that some vulnerabilities can be used in conjunction with another, to achieve a less suspicious attack. One can get quite creative once you learn to exploit vulnerabilities and determine the risk it carries.

A proper risk assessment can tell a very definitive story. Once you make the connections, you will know where to focus your attention and do what is necessary to avoid the risk. Some risks will require more attention than others, depending on your mission results.

Perhaps you are not a security operative or into Risk-Management, and you wonder how this methodology can help you in normal life?

Picture yourself driving down the street on your way home. Looking around, you notice a bunch of everyday things, like people walking on the sidewalk, some garbage bags alongside a bin or two, a few potholes in the road and here and there a tree leaning over to the side.

What can this simple picture tell you? What if someone slips and falls off the sidewalk right in front of your car? What if he is drunk and deliberately walks in front of the car to draw your attention? Did you compensate for that? What if one of the garbage bags is half-way on the road, forcing you to swerve into oncoming traffic? Same with the pothole, or it can also cause a tire to blow and force your vehicle to collide into oncoming traffic? And what if that tree starts to fall right as you attempt to drive past it?


It's a simple equation, anything that can cause a negative outcome (Threat) when coupled with asking "what if", can lead to a Risk. Some more severe than others. So it's evident that a risk is something that could happen, and a threat is a likelihood with which that same thing can happen.

If you would like to read more advanced terminology and explanations, I suggest you visit: https://protectioncircle.org/2017/01/27/threats-and-risks/